Risk of knee and ankle sprains under various weather conditions in American
football
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JOHN W. ORCHARD#
and
JOHN W. POWELL*
Short running title: Weather conditions and football
injuries
From the #Sports
Medicine Unit,
University
of
New South Wales
,
Sydney
,
Australia
and *Departments
of Kinesiology and Physical Medicine & Rehabilitation,
Michigan
State
University
,
East Lansing
,
Michigan
.
ABSTRACT
Purpose: Previous
studies have found conflicting relationships between type of playing surface and
injury in American football, but have not taken into account possible
variations in the surface conditions of outdoor stadiums due to changing weather.
Methods: 5910 National Football League (NFL) team
games between 1989 and 1998 inclusive were studied to determine
associations between knee and ankle sprains, playing surface and the weather
conditions on the day of the game.
Results: There was reduced risk of significant ankle sprains (at least 7
days time loss) for games in natural grass stadiums compared to domes (indoor
stadiums using AstroTurf) (RR 0.69, 95% CI 0.58-0.83). There was also reduced
risk of significant knee sprains on grass compared to domes (RR 0.77, 95% CI
0.66-0.91), although most of this reduction was related to cold and wet weather
on grass (RR 0.66, 95% CI 0.47-0.93 compared to hot and dry weather on grass).
In open (outdoor) AstroTurf stadiums, cold weather was associated with a lower
risk of significant ankle sprains (RR 0.68, 95% CI 0.51-0.91), significant knee
sprains (RR 0.60, 95% CI 0.47-0.77) and ACL injuries (RR 0.50, 95% CI 0.31-0.81)
compared to hot weather in the same stadiums.
Weather did not have any significant effects on the injury risk in domes.
The ACL incidence rate was lower during the later (cooler) months of the season
in open stadiums (both AstroTurf, and natural grass), but not in domes.
Conclusion: Cold weather is associated with lower knee and ankle injury risk in
outdoor stadiums (both natural grass and AstroTurf), probably because of reduced
shoe-surface traction. Key Words: KNEE INJURIES, ANKLE INJURIES, SHOE-
SURFACE TRACTION, ARTIFICIAL TURF
The National Football League (NFL) has been conducting its
injury surveillance system since 1980,
which is thought to be longer than any other professional sporting
competition in the world (22,
26)
. Risk factors for injury can be divided into intrinsic (player-related)
and extrinsic (environment-related). Many of the documented intrinsic risk
factors for injury are non-reversible, such as player age, sex and past history
of injury. A potential extrinsic risk factor of interest within the sports
medicine community has been the playing surface. (1,
3, 5-7, 9, 11, 12, 14, 19, 20, 22, 26, 27)
. Injury causation is complex, with potential interactions between
surface type and other extrinsic (e.g. weather, type of play) and intrinsic
(e.g. player position, age, injury history and shoe selection) variables.
Many studies in the 1970s and 1980s compared the injury
rates between artificial surfaces, such as AstroTurf
(Southwest Recreation Industries, Leander, TX), and natural grass. There have
been conflicting conclusions from the results of these studies. Many studies
have found that artificial turf and grass have a similar overall injury rate (12,
14, 20-22, 25, 26)
. Injuries to the foot and ankle have been reported as slightly more
common on AstroTurf than grass (3,
20-22, 26)
. Injuries to the knee have been reported as either not related to the
playing surface or slightly more common on artificial turf (3,
20-22, 26)
. The relative risk for injuries on Astroturf compared to natural grass
has varied when the data were controlled for player position and type of play (22)
.
Surface characteristics (such as hardness) of AstroTurf and
particularly natural grass are quite variable (11)
. Natural grass varies widely in soil moisture content, soil type and
species of turfgrass. Previous studies that have compared injury rates on
natural grass and artificial turf have generally not assessed the condition of
either surface, which could be a reason for the conflicting conclusions from
these studies.
The aim of this study was to describe the association
between weather conditions and knee and ankle sprains for natural grass and
AstroTurf surfaces in the NFL for the ten seasons 1989-98, as weather conditions
are responsible for some of the variation in surface characteristics in outdoor
stadiums.
METHODS
Injury
surveillance
Athletic trainers at each NFL club collected injury data
for this study over the years 1989-1998 as part of the NFL Injury Surveillance
System. The injury definition for this surveillance system was: “any injury
that caused cessation of an athlete’s customary participation throughout two
participation days after the day of onset”. There were further aspects to the
NFL survey definition of an injury, but these related to concussions and
fractures, which were not analyzed as part of this study. Only those injuries
that occurred during a game were considered. Player details were not exported
from the NFL Injury Surveillance system for this study.
Knee sprains (ligament injuries) were subdivided into: (1)
ACL sprains (2) MCL sprains (3) other knee sprains (such as PCL, LCL and
non-specific ligament sprains) based on their primary diagnosis
(that is, the diagnosis considered by the recording athletic trainer and
physician to be primarily responsible for the time loss).
Ankle sprains were subdivided into: (1) inversion sprains (2) eversion
sprains and (3) other sprains, based on their primary diagnosis. Inversion
sprains included lateral ligament sprains and anterior capsule sprains, while
eversion sprains included medial ligament and distal tibio-fibular sprains. Knee
and ankle sprains had the severity of injury calculated, based on time loss. A
category of ‘significant injuries’ was created for injuries that missed at
least 7 days of practice and/or game time.
The games under consideration were those occurring in
seasons 1989-1998 inclusive, in either the pre-season, regular season or
post-season, played at the regular home stadiums of NFL teams (Table 1).
With respect to playing conditions, the stadiums were grouped as either
being:
(1)
A natural grass surface with an open roof (grass)
(2)
An artificial turf surface with an open roof (open turf)
(3)
An artificial turf surface with a closed roof (dome).
For the time period under consideration, there were no
games played on natural grass surfaces in closed stadiums. Some open stadiums
changed from artificial surfaces to natural grass surfaces over the time of
study, and some teams moved their home stadium during this period to another
with different conditions, even though it may have been in the same city. Some
teams relocated from one city to another. All of these changes were taken into
account, so that the data for each stadium reflected the ground and roof type on
the documented days.
Weather
data
Weather information was obtained through the National
Climatic Data Center (NCDC) website http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/. Daily information
of precipitation and maximum temperature over the period July 1988-January 1999
was obtained for each station. The closest station to each stadium that had data
for the entire study period was used.
Anaheim
(LA Rams) and
Los Angeles
(LA Raiders) were considered distinct locations, as were Baltimore and
Washington
DC
. A station was available for every city with an NFL team except for Foxboro
(New England Patriots), for which the nearby town of
Brockton
was used. The vast majority (well over 95%) of the weather-related variables
were available, although there were occasional missing data. Because the weather
variables were to be converted to binary categorical data (hot and cold days;
rain and no rain), it was decided to approximate the missing values. Where the
downloaded data had missing elements, the following procedures were used to
complete the data set:
(1)
For missing temperature elements of 1-2 days duration, the same
temperature reading from the previous or following day (depending on which was
closest to the median for that time of year) was taken.
(2)
For missing rainfall elements, or temperature elements that were
missing in blocks of greater than 2 days, the readings from the closest other
city was used, for example, if
New York
had one week of missing temperature readings, then these were imported from the
Philadelphia
data set over the same dates to complete the set.
Using this procedure, every venue had a complete daily data
set for precipitation and maximum temperature for all calendar dates (July
1988-January 1999 inclusive). Categorical variables from the continuous weather
data were created to allow discrete stratified analysis. For rainfall this was
based on presence or absence of any precipitation (‘wet days’ or ‘dry
days’). For maximum temperature, this was based on whether the temperature was
equal to or greater than 70°F
(21 °C)
(referred to in the analysis as ‘hot days’) or less than 70°F
(referred to as ‘cold days’). This cut-off temperature was selected as it
was the mean maximum daily temperature for all game days.
Data
analysis
Injury incidence was calculated as a unit of injuries per
team season (injuries per 20 team games). Injury rates were compared between different stadium types (dome/open,
AstroTurf/grass), and then within stadium types for different weather conditions
(hot/cold and wet/dry) on the day of the game.
The reference
stadium type when comparing stadiums was domes (therefore risk for open
AstroTurf and grass is expressed relative to domes). The reference weather
conditions were hot days, dry days, and hot & dry days. Therefore, on grass
for example, risk on a cold day is expressed relative to risk on a hot day, and
risk on a hot & wet day is expressed relative to risk on a hot & dry
day. Multivariate analysis
considering both stadium conditions and weather conditions in the same equation
was not performed, as outside weather conditions would not have had a comparable
effect on different stadium types. This is because domes are shielded from the
outside weather, and even in outdoor stadiums, the effect of weather conditions
on AstroTurf compared to natural grass is likely to be very different.
The 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for relative risks
were calculated using a
Taylor
series expansion (17,
24)
.
RESULTS
There were 5910
team games and of these, there were 2910 games on natural grass (all in the open
air) and 3000 on artificial turf, with 1624 of these played in the open and 1376
in a domed stadium. There were 40 venues analyzed in 35 distinct locations
(Table 1).
Table
1 – Stadiums and cities in the analysis (1989-1998 seasons)
|
Surface
|
City
|
Stadium
|
Astroturf
|
Altanta
|
Georgia
dome
|
|
(Domes)
|
Detroit
|
Pontiac
Silverdome
|
|
|
Houston
|
Astrodome
|
|
|
Indiannapolis
|
RCA
(Hoosier) dome
|
|
|
Minneapolis
|
Metrodome
|
|
|
New Orleans
|
Superdome
|
|
|
Seattle
|
Kingdome
|
|
|
St Louis
|
TransWorld
dome
|
Astroturf
|
Buffalo
|
Ralph
Wilson (Rich)
|
|
(Open roof)
|
Cincinnati
|
Cinergy
Field (Riverfront)
|
|
|
Dallas
|
Texas
Stadium
|
|
|
East
Rutherford
,
NJ
|
Giants
Stadium
|
|
|
Nashville
|
Vanderbilt
|
|
|
Philadelphia
|
Veterans
Stadium
|
|
|
Pittsburgh
|
Three
Rivers Stadium
|
|
|
St Louis
|
Busch
Stadium
|
Mixed
|
Chicago
|
Soldier
Field
|
|
(Open roof)
|
Foxboro
,
MA
|
Foxboro
Stadium
|
|
|
Kansas City
|
Arrowhead
Stadium
|
|
Natural grass
|
Altanta
|
Fulton
County
Stadium
|
|
|
Anaheim
|
Anaheim
Stadium
|
|
|
Baltimore
|
Memorial
Stadium
|
|
|
|
PSINet
Stadium
|
|
|
Charlotte
|
Clemson
Stadium
|
|
|
|
Ericsson
Stadium
|
|
|
Cleveland
|
Cleveland
Stadium
|
|
|
Denver
|
Mile
High Stadium
|
|
|
Green Bay
|
Lambeau
Field
|
|
|
Jacksonville
|
Alltel
Stadium
|
|
|
Los Angeles
|
LA
Coliseum
|
|
|
Memphis
|
Liberty
Bowl
|
|
|
Miami
|
Pro
Player (Joe Robbie)
|
|
|
Milwaukee
|
Milwaukee
County
|
|
|
Oakland
|
Alameda
County
Stadium
|
|
|
Phoenix
|
Sun
Devil Stadium
|
|
|
San Diego
|
Qualcomm
(Jack Murphy)
|
|
|
San Francisco
|
3Com
(Candlestick) Park
|
|
|
Tampa
Bay
|
Houlihan's
|
|
|
|
Raymond
James
|
|
|
Washington
,
DC
|
RFK/Jack
Kent
Cook
|
There were 1609
knee sprains over the period of study that occurred in games in those stadiums
under consideration. The knee sprains represented 13% of all injuries. There
were 1518 ankle sprains in the same games (12% of all injuries). The breakdown
of knee and ankle injuries is shown in Table 2.
Table
2 - Comparison of incidence rates for various injuries on different surface
types
|
Injury type
|
No. of
injuries
|
Incidence
rates (injuries/team season)
|
Relative
rates (95% confidence intervals)
|
|
All
|
Dome
|
Open turf
|
Grass
|
Open turf:
Dome
|
Grass: Dome
|
Grass: Open
turf
|
|
Knee sprains
|
1609
|
5.5
|
6.2
|
6.0
|
4.8
|
0.97
(0.83-1.13)
|
0.78
(0.68-0.90)
|
0.81
(0.71-0.93)
|
|
Significant
knee sprains
|
1140
|
3.9
|
4.4
|
4.1
|
3.4
|
0.93
(0.78-1.11)
|
0.77
(0.66-0.91)
|
0.83
(0.71-0.97)
|
|
MCL sprains
|
932
|
3.2
|
3.6
|
3.4
|
2.8
|
0.95
(0.79-1.15)
|
0.79
(0.66-0.93)
|
0.82
(0.70-0.97)
|
|
ACL sprains
|
252
|
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.96
(0.69-1.36)
|
0.82
(0.60-1.12)
|
0.85
(0.63-1.15)
|
|
Ankle
sprains
|
1518
|
5.1
|
6.4
|
5.6
|
4.3
|
0.87
(0.74-1.01)
|
0.67
(0.58-0.78)
|
0.78
(0.68-0.89)
|
|
Significant
ankle sprains
|
773
|
2.6
|
3.3
|
2.7
|
2.3
|
0.83
(0.68-1.02)
|
0.69
(0.58-0.83)
|
0.83
(0.70-1.00)
|
|
Ankle
inversions
|
625
|
2.1
|
2.5
|
2.4
|
1.8
|
0.97
(0.78-1.20)
|
0.71
(0.58-0.87)
|
0.73
(0.60-0.89)
|
|
Ankle
eversions
|
713
|
2.4
|
3.0
|
2.6
|
2.1
|
0.87
(0.71-1.07)
|
0.70
(0.58-0.85)
|
0.80
(0.67-0.97)
|
Games in domes had
a similar risk for all injury types on wet days compare