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Risk of knee and ankle sprains under various weather conditions in American football

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JOHN W. ORCHARD#

and

JOHN W. POWELL*

Short running title: Weather conditions and football injuries

From the #Sports Medicine Unit, University of New South Wales , Sydney , Australia and *Departments of Kinesiology and Physical Medicine & Rehabilitation, Michigan State University , East Lansing , Michigan .

ABSTRACT

Purpose: Previous studies have found conflicting relationships between type of playing surface and injury in American football, but have not taken into account possible variations in the surface conditions of outdoor stadiums due to changing weather. Methods: 5910 National Football League (NFL) team games between 1989 and 1998 inclusive were studied to determine associations between knee and ankle sprains, playing surface and the weather conditions on the day of the game. Results: There was reduced risk of significant ankle sprains (at least 7 days time loss) for games in natural grass stadiums compared to domes (indoor stadiums using AstroTurf) (RR 0.69, 95% CI 0.58-0.83). There was also reduced risk of significant knee sprains on grass compared to domes (RR 0.77, 95% CI 0.66-0.91), although most of this reduction was related to cold and wet weather on grass (RR 0.66, 95% CI 0.47-0.93 compared to hot and dry weather on grass). In open (outdoor) AstroTurf stadiums, cold weather was associated with a lower risk of significant ankle sprains (RR 0.68, 95% CI 0.51-0.91), significant knee sprains (RR 0.60, 95% CI 0.47-0.77) and ACL injuries (RR 0.50, 95% CI 0.31-0.81) compared to hot weather in the same stadiums. Weather did not have any significant effects on the injury risk in domes. The ACL incidence rate was lower during the later (cooler) months of the season in open stadiums (both AstroTurf, and natural grass), but not in domes. Conclusion: Cold weather is associated with lower knee and ankle injury risk in outdoor stadiums (both natural grass and AstroTurf), probably because of reduced shoe-surface traction. Key Words: KNEE INJURIES, ANKLE INJURIES, SHOE- SURFACE TRACTION, ARTIFICIAL TURF

The National Football League (NFL) has been conducting its injury surveillance system since 1980, which is thought to be longer than any other professional sporting competition in the world (22, 26) . Risk factors for injury can be divided into intrinsic (player-related) and extrinsic (environment-related). Many of the documented intrinsic risk factors for injury are non-reversible, such as player age, sex and past history of injury. A potential extrinsic risk factor of interest within the sports medicine community has been the playing surface. (1, 3, 5-7, 9, 11, 12, 14, 19, 20, 22, 26, 27) . Injury causation is complex, with potential interactions between surface type and other extrinsic (e.g. weather, type of play) and intrinsic (e.g. player position, age, injury history and shoe selection) variables.

Many studies in the 1970s and 1980s compared the injury rates between artificial surfaces, such as AstroTurf[1] (Southwest Recreation Industries, Leander, TX), and natural grass. There have been conflicting conclusions from the results of these studies. Many studies have found that artificial turf and grass have a similar overall injury rate (12, 14, 20-22, 25, 26) . Injuries to the foot and ankle have been reported as slightly more common on AstroTurf than grass (3, 20-22, 26) . Injuries to the knee have been reported as either not related to the playing surface or slightly more common on artificial turf (3, 20-22, 26) . The relative risk for injuries on Astroturf compared to natural grass has varied when the data were controlled for player position and type of play (22) .

Surface characteristics (such as hardness) of AstroTurf and particularly natural grass are quite variable (11) . Natural grass varies widely in soil moisture content, soil type and species of turfgrass. Previous studies that have compared injury rates on natural grass and artificial turf have generally not assessed the condition of either surface, which could be a reason for the conflicting conclusions from these studies.

The aim of this study was to describe the association between weather conditions and knee and ankle sprains for natural grass and AstroTurf surfaces in the NFL for the ten seasons 1989-98, as weather conditions are responsible for some of the variation in surface characteristics in outdoor stadiums.

METHODS

Injury surveillance

Athletic trainers at each NFL club collected injury data for this study over the years 1989-1998 as part of the NFL Injury Surveillance System. The injury definition for this surveillance system was: “any injury that caused cessation of an athlete’s customary participation throughout two participation days after the day of onset”. There were further aspects to the NFL survey definition of an injury, but these related to concussions and fractures, which were not analyzed as part of this study. Only those injuries that occurred during a game were considered. Player details were not exported from the NFL Injury Surveillance system for this study.

Knee sprains (ligament injuries) were subdivided into: (1) ACL sprains (2) MCL sprains (3) other knee sprains (such as PCL, LCL and non-specific ligament sprains) based on their primary diagnosis (that is, the diagnosis considered by the recording athletic trainer and physician to be primarily responsible for the time loss). Ankle sprains were subdivided into: (1) inversion sprains (2) eversion sprains and (3) other sprains, based on their primary diagnosis. Inversion sprains included lateral ligament sprains and anterior capsule sprains, while eversion sprains included medial ligament and distal tibio-fibular sprains. Knee and ankle sprains had the severity of injury calculated, based on time loss. A category of ‘significant injuries’ was created for injuries that missed at least 7 days of practice and/or game time.

The games under consideration were those occurring in seasons 1989-1998 inclusive, in either the pre-season, regular season or post-season, played at the regular home stadiums of NFL teams (Table 1).  With respect to playing conditions, the stadiums were grouped as either being:

(1)   A natural grass surface with an open roof (grass)

(2)   An artificial turf surface with an open roof (open turf)

(3)   An artificial turf surface with a closed roof (dome).

For the time period under consideration, there were no games played on natural grass surfaces in closed stadiums. Some open stadiums changed from artificial surfaces to natural grass surfaces over the time of study, and some teams moved their home stadium during this period to another with different conditions, even though it may have been in the same city. Some teams relocated from one city to another. All of these changes were taken into account, so that the data for each stadium reflected the ground and roof type on the documented days.

Weather data

Weather information was obtained through the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) website http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/. Daily information of precipitation and maximum temperature over the period July 1988-January 1999 was obtained for each station. The closest station to each stadium that had data for the entire study period was used. Anaheim (LA Rams) and Los Angeles (LA Raiders) were considered distinct locations, as were Baltimore and Washington DC . A station was available for every city with an NFL team except for Foxboro (New England Patriots), for which the nearby town of Brockton was used. The vast majority (well over 95%) of the weather-related variables were available, although there were occasional missing data. Because the weather variables were to be converted to binary categorical data (hot and cold days; rain and no rain), it was decided to approximate the missing values. Where the downloaded data had missing elements, the following procedures were used to complete the data set:

(1)   For missing temperature elements of 1-2 days duration, the same temperature reading from the previous or following day (depending on which was closest to the median for that time of year) was taken.

(2)   For missing rainfall elements, or temperature elements that were missing in blocks of greater than 2 days, the readings from the closest other city was used, for example, if New York had one week of missing temperature readings, then these were imported from the Philadelphia data set over the same dates to complete the set.

Using this procedure, every venue had a complete daily data set for precipitation and maximum temperature for all calendar dates (July 1988-January 1999 inclusive). Categorical variables from the continuous weather data were created to allow discrete stratified analysis. For rainfall this was based on presence or absence of any precipitation (‘wet days’ or ‘dry days’). For maximum temperature, this was based on whether the temperature was equal to or greater than 70°F (21 °C) (referred to in the analysis as ‘hot days’) or less than 70°F (referred to as ‘cold days’). This cut-off temperature was selected as it was the mean maximum daily temperature for all game days.

Data analysis

Injury incidence was calculated as a unit of injuries per team season (injuries per 20 team games). Injury rates were compared between different stadium types (dome/open, AstroTurf/grass), and then within stadium types for different weather conditions (hot/cold and wet/dry) on the day of the game.

The reference stadium type when comparing stadiums was domes (therefore risk for open AstroTurf and grass is expressed relative to domes). The reference weather conditions were hot days, dry days, and hot & dry days. Therefore, on grass for example, risk on a cold day is expressed relative to risk on a hot day, and risk on a hot & wet day is expressed relative to risk on a hot & dry day. Multivariate analysis considering both stadium conditions and weather conditions in the same equation was not performed, as outside weather conditions would not have had a comparable effect on different stadium types. This is because domes are shielded from the outside weather, and even in outdoor stadiums, the effect of weather conditions on AstroTurf compared to natural grass is likely to be very different.

The 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for relative risks were calculated using a Taylor series expansion (17, 24) .

RESULTS

There were 5910 team games and of these, there were 2910 games on natural grass (all in the open air) and 3000 on artificial turf, with 1624 of these played in the open and 1376 in a domed stadium. There were 40 venues analyzed in 35 distinct locations (Table 1).

Table 1 – Stadiums and cities in the analysis (1989-1998 seasons)

Surface

City

Stadium

Astroturf

Altanta

Georgia dome

(Domes)

Detroit

Pontiac Silverdome

 

Houston

Astrodome

 

Indiannapolis

RCA (Hoosier) dome

 

Minneapolis

Metrodome

 

New Orleans

Superdome

 

Seattle

Kingdome

 

St Louis

TransWorld dome

Astroturf

Buffalo

Ralph Wilson (Rich)

(Open roof)

Cincinnati

Cinergy Field (Riverfront)

 

Dallas

Texas Stadium

 

East Rutherford , NJ

Giants Stadium

 

Nashville

Vanderbilt

 

Philadelphia

Veterans Stadium

 

Pittsburgh

Three Rivers Stadium

 

St Louis

Busch Stadium

Mixed

Chicago

Soldier Field

(Open roof)

Foxboro , MA

Foxboro Stadium

 

Kansas City

Arrowhead Stadium

Natural grass

Altanta

Fulton County Stadium

 

Anaheim

Anaheim Stadium

 

Baltimore

Memorial Stadium

 

 

PSINet Stadium

 

Charlotte

Clemson Stadium

 

 

Ericsson Stadium

 

Cleveland

Cleveland Stadium

 

Denver

Mile High Stadium

 

Green Bay

Lambeau Field

 

Jacksonville

Alltel Stadium

 

Los Angeles

LA Coliseum

 

Memphis

Liberty Bowl

 

Miami

Pro Player (Joe Robbie)

 

Milwaukee

Milwaukee County

 

Oakland

Alameda County Stadium

 

Phoenix

Sun Devil Stadium

 

San Diego

Qualcomm (Jack Murphy)

 

San Francisco

3Com (Candlestick) Park

 

Tampa Bay

Houlihan's

 

 

Raymond James

 

Washington , DC

RFK/Jack Kent Cook

There were 1609 knee sprains over the period of study that occurred in games in those stadiums under consideration. The knee sprains represented 13% of all injuries. There were 1518 ankle sprains in the same games (12% of all injuries). The breakdown of knee and ankle injuries is shown in Table 2.

Table 2 - Comparison of incidence rates for various injuries on different surface types

Injury type

No. of injuries

Incidence rates (injuries/team season)

Relative rates (95% confidence intervals)

All

Dome

Open turf

Grass

Open turf: Dome

Grass: Dome

Grass: Open turf

Knee sprains

1609

5.5

6.2

6.0

4.8

0.97 (0.83-1.13)

0.78 (0.68-0.90)

0.81 (0.71-0.93)

Significant knee sprains

1140

3.9

4.4

4.1

3.4

0.93 (0.78-1.11)

0.77 (0.66-0.91)

0.83 (0.71-0.97)

MCL sprains

932

3.2

3.6

3.4

2.8

0.95 (0.79-1.15)

0.79 (0.66-0.93)

0.82 (0.70-0.97)

ACL sprains

252

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.8

0.96 (0.69-1.36)

0.82 (0.60-1.12)

0.85 (0.63-1.15)

Ankle sprains

1518

5.1

6.4

5.6

4.3

0.87 (0.74-1.01)

0.67 (0.58-0.78)

0.78 (0.68-0.89)

Significant ankle sprains

773

2.6

3.3

2.7

2.3

0.83 (0.68-1.02)

0.69 (0.58-0.83)

0.83 (0.70-1.00)

Ankle inversions

625

2.1

2.5

2.4

1.8

0.97 (0.78-1.20)

0.71 (0.58-0.87)

0.73 (0.60-0.89)

Ankle eversions

713

2.4

3.0

2.6

2.1

0.87 (0.71-1.07)

0.70 (0.58-0.85)

0.80 (0.67-0.97)

Games in domes had a similar risk for all injury types on wet days compare